SHOP Fair Value — Shopify Inc

E-Commerce · Institutional-depth multi-model valuation on Equity Rank

Current Price
$122.65
Consensus Fair Value
$63.70
Margin of Safety
-48.1%

When does SHOP report earnings?

Shopify Inc (SHOP) is next scheduled to report earnings on Aug 5, 2026. The consensus analyst EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.28.

Heading into this report, the model's fair value estimate sits 48.1% below the current price (model fair value differential below current price). Descriptive context only — not a forecast of the earnings result.

Earnings dates and estimates are sourced from third-party data and may change or lag. Informational only.

How SHOP's valuation models agree

Equity Rank computed model fair value for SHOP from 8 independent valuation methods with sufficient data. 1 place fair value above the current price of $122.65, and 7 place it below. The model-blended estimate lands at $63.70 — a model fair value differential of 48.1% below the current price under these model assumptions. The larger group places fair value below the current price.

Models: FV above price
1
Models: FV below price
7
Models compared
8

Each method (DCF, Graham Number, EPV, Three-Stage DCF, DDM, Residual Income, Justified Price-to-Book, and more) is weighted by historical sector accuracy. Model-derived and informational only — not investment advice.

SHOP fundamental profile

Equity Rank's fundamental strength composite scores SHOP at 70.7/100 (B+, Strong), blending profitability, balance-sheet, and cash-flow quality. Over the trailing three years, gross margin has moved -1.1 pp. Its SAVE composite score has moved +0.7 over the past 30 days.

A composite quality metric for research context — not a rating, recommendation, or directional signal.

About SHOP

Shopify Inc (SHOP) is analyzed on Equity Rank using the S·A·V·E framework: Sentiment, Analyst consensus, Valuation (DCF, Graham, multiples), and Earnings quality. The consensus fair value is a blend of multiple models designed to surface potential mispricings versus current market price.

Equity Rank provides institutional-depth valuation research on 3,000+ US equities. Data is refreshed daily and combines quantitative models with AI-driven qualitative analysis.

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