MSFT Fair Value — Microsoft Corporation

Software · Institutional-depth multi-model valuation on Equity Rank

Current Price
$404.22
Consensus Fair Value
$383.57
Margin of Safety
-5.1%

When does MSFT report earnings?

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is next scheduled to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026 (after market close). The consensus analyst EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $4.21.

Heading into this report, the model's fair value estimate sits 5.1% below the current price (model fair value differential below current price). Descriptive context only — not a forecast of the earnings result.

Earnings dates and estimates are sourced from third-party data and may change or lag. Informational only.

How MSFT's valuation models agree

Equity Rank computed model fair value for MSFT from 10 independent valuation methods with sufficient data. 4 place fair value above the current price of $404.22, and 6 place it below. The model-blended estimate lands at $383.57 — a model fair value differential of 5.1% below the current price under these model assumptions. The larger group places fair value below the current price.

Models: FV above price
4
Models: FV below price
6
Models compared
10

Each method (DCF, Graham Number, EPV, Three-Stage DCF, DDM, Residual Income, Justified Price-to-Book, and more) is weighted by historical sector accuracy. Model-derived and informational only — not investment advice.

MSFT fundamental profile

Equity Rank's fundamental strength composite scores MSFT at 78.1/100 (A-, Strong), blending profitability, balance-sheet, and cash-flow quality. Over the trailing three years, free cash flow has compounded at +3.2% per year and gross margin has moved +0.4 pp. Its SAVE composite score has moved -0.6 over the past 30 days.

A composite quality metric for research context — not a rating, recommendation, or directional signal.

About MSFT

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is analyzed on Equity Rank using the S·A·V·E framework: Sentiment, Analyst consensus, Valuation (DCF, Graham, multiples), and Earnings quality. The consensus fair value is a blend of multiple models designed to surface potential mispricings versus current market price.

Equity Rank provides institutional-depth valuation research on 3,000+ US equities. Data is refreshed daily and combines quantitative models with AI-driven qualitative analysis.

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