JOE Fair Value — St Joe Company

Real Estate · Institutional-depth multi-model valuation on Equity Rank

As of October 29, 2026, St Joe Company (JOE) trades at $71.80. Equity Rank's blended estimate across 9 valuation models with sufficient data is $56.97 — a model fair value differential of 20.6% below the current price under these model assumptions. Model-derived estimate, informational only — not investment advice.

Source: Equity Rank — JOE fair value (data as of 2026-10-29). The full page adds the per-method breakdown and the model’s scenario range (with an Equity Rank account).

Current Price
$71.80
Model Fair Value
$56.97
Margin of Safety
-20.6%

JOE earnings history

The median share-price change across a report, in either direction, was 2.8%.

ReportEPS estimateEPS actualvs estimatePrice change
Jul 29, 2026—$0.71—+1.9%
Apr 29, 2026$0.00$0.24—-2.7%
Feb 25, 2026$0.00$0.52—-1.5%
Oct 29, 2025$0.00$0.67—+11.9%
Jul 23, 2025—$0.51—+3.6%
Apr 23, 2025—$0.30—+0.8%
Feb 26, 2025—$0.32—+2.8%
Oct 23, 2024—$0.29—-6.1%

Price change is close to close across the report. Past reactions say nothing about the next report. Informational only.

How JOE's valuation models agree

Equity Rank computed model fair value for JOE from 9 independent valuation methods with sufficient data. 1 place fair value above the current price of $71.80, and 8 place it below. The model-blended estimate lands at $56.97 — a model fair value differential of 20.6% below the current price under these model assumptions. The larger group places fair value below the current price.

Models: FV above price
1
Models: FV below price
8
Models compared
9

Each method (DCF, Graham Number, EPV, Three-Stage DCF, DDM, Residual Income, Justified Price-to-Book, and more) is weighted by historical sector accuracy. Model-derived and informational only — not investment advice.

JOE fundamental profile

Equity Rank's fundamental strength composite scores JOE at 75.1/100 (B+, Strong), blending profitability, balance-sheet, and cash-flow quality. Over the trailing three years, gross margin has moved +51.1 pp. Its SAVE composite score has moved -0.7 over the past 30 days.

A composite quality metric for research context — not a rating, recommendation, or directional signal.

What is JOE's intrinsic value estimate?

Equity Rank's intrinsic value estimate for St Joe Company (JOE) — the model fair value — is $56.97 as of October 29, 2026, blended from 9 valuation methods with sufficient data. An intrinsic value estimate is what the models compute a share to be worth under stated assumptions; it is not a price target, not a prediction of where the stock will trade, and not investment advice.

How does Equity Rank calculate fair value for JOE?

Equity Rank calculates fair value for JOE by blending 19 valuation methods (8–15 run per security depending on data availability), including DCF, Graham Number, Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, EPV, Three-Stage DCF, DDM, Residual Income, and Justified Price-to-Book. Each model is weighted by historical sector accuracy and updated regularly. Informational only — not investment advice.

About JOE

St Joe Company (JOE) is analyzed on Equity Rank with multiple valuation methods (DCF, Graham Number, multiples) and a Fundamentals Score built from value, growth, quality and financial stability. The consensus fair value is a blend of multiple models designed to surface potential mispricings versus current market price.

St Joe Company (JOE) is classified in the Real Estate sector on Equity Rank, and its valuation methods are weighted with sector-calibrated multiples.

Equity Rank provides institutional-depth valuation research on 3,000+ US equities. Data is refreshed daily and combines quantitative models with AI-driven qualitative analysis.

Related Real Estate Research

PLD · AMT · EQIX · CCI · SPG

ETFs holding JOE (share of fund): IJR (0.1%) · VNQ (0.1%) · IWM (0.1%) · VB (0.0%)

All Real Estate stocks with model fair values · Undervalued Real Estate stocks

Research Tools

Intrinsic Value Calculator · DCF Calculator · Margin of Safety Calculator

Data study: 19 valuation models across 3,091 US stocks · Compare any two stocks

How to quote this page

Attribute figures to Equity Rank and link https://www.equity-rank.com/stocks/JOE. Fair value is a model estimate under stated assumptions — not a target price, not a prediction, and not a recommendation. Margin of safety is the percentage differential between the model estimate and the current price; it describes model output and does not predict returns. Carry the date with any number: these figures are as of October 29, 2026 and are recomputed after every U.S. market close.