BHP Fair Value — BHP Group Limited

Mining · Institutional-depth multi-model valuation on Equity Rank

Current Price
$82.14
Consensus Fair Value
$65.68
Margin of Safety
-20.0%

When does BHP report earnings?

BHP Group Limited (BHP) is next scheduled to report earnings on Aug 18, 2026.

Heading into this report, the model's fair value estimate sits 20.0% below the current price (model fair value differential below current price). Descriptive context only — not a forecast of the earnings result.

Earnings dates and estimates are sourced from third-party data and may change or lag. Informational only.

How BHP's valuation models agree

Equity Rank computed model fair value for BHP from 12 independent valuation methods with sufficient data. 3 place fair value above the current price of $82.14, and 9 place it below. The model-blended estimate lands at $65.68 — a model fair value differential of 20.0% below the current price under these model assumptions. The larger group places fair value below the current price.

Models: FV above price
3
Models: FV below price
9
Models compared
12

Each method (DCF, Graham Number, EPV, Three-Stage DCF, DDM, Residual Income, Justified Price-to-Book, and more) is weighted by historical sector accuracy. Model-derived and informational only — not investment advice.

BHP fundamental profile

Equity Rank's fundamental strength composite scores BHP at 73.4/100 (B+, Strong), blending profitability, balance-sheet, and cash-flow quality. Over the trailing three years, free cash flow has compounded at -29.1% per year and gross margin has moved -3.4 pp. Its SAVE composite score has moved -0.2 over the past 30 days.

A composite quality metric for research context — not a rating, recommendation, or directional signal.

About BHP

BHP Group Limited (BHP) is analyzed on Equity Rank using the S·A·V·E framework: Sentiment, Analyst consensus, Valuation (DCF, Graham, multiples), and Earnings quality. The consensus fair value is a blend of multiple models designed to surface potential mispricings versus current market price.

Equity Rank provides institutional-depth valuation research on 3,000+ US equities. Data is refreshed daily and combines quantitative models with AI-driven qualitative analysis.

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