As of October 22, 2026, BHP Group Limited (BHP) trades at $77.00. Equity Rank's blended estimate across 11 valuation models with sufficient data is $81.24 — a model fair value differential of 5.5% above the current price under these model assumptions. Model-derived estimate, informational only — not investment advice.
Source: Equity Rank — BHP fair value (data as of 2026-10-22). The full page adds the per-method breakdown and the model’s scenario range (with an Equity Rank account).
BHP Group Limited (BHP) is next scheduled to report earnings on Nov 17, 2026.
Heading into this report, the model's fair value estimate sits 5.5% above the current price (model fair value differential above current price). Descriptive context only — not a forecast of the earnings result.
Reported EPS came in above the analyst estimate in 1 of the last 8 reports. The median share-price change across a report, in either direction, was 0.5%.
| Report | EPS estimate | EPS actual | vs estimate | Price change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2026 | $2.23 | $2.22 | -0.4% | — |
| Aug 18, 2025 | $2.16 | $1.81 | -16.2% | — |
| Feb 17, 2025 | $1.84 | $1.74 | -5.6% | — |
| Aug 26, 2024 | $3.06 | $2.75 | -10.3% | +0.6% |
| Mar 18, 2024 | $2.87 | $0.37 | -87.3% | +0.4% |
| Sep 4, 2023 | $3.08 | $2.55 | -17.3% | — |
| Feb 21, 2023 | $3.20 | $2.55 | -20.4% | -0.3% |
| Aug 16, 2022 | $2.46 | $8.46 | +244.1% | +5.9% |
Equity Rank computed model fair value for BHP from 11 independent valuation methods with sufficient data. 4 place fair value above the current price of $77.00, and 7 place it below. The model-blended estimate lands at $81.24 — a model fair value differential of 5.5% above the current price under these model assumptions. The larger group places fair value below the current price.
Equity Rank's fundamental strength composite scores BHP at 78.4/100 (A-, Strong), blending profitability, balance-sheet, and cash-flow quality. Over the trailing three years, free cash flow has compounded at -0.1% per year and gross margin has moved -4.1 pp. Its SAVE composite score has moved +0.6 over the past 30 days.
Equity Rank's intrinsic value estimate for BHP Group Limited (BHP) — the model fair value — is $81.24 as of October 22, 2026, blended from 11 valuation methods with sufficient data. An intrinsic value estimate is what the models compute a share to be worth under stated assumptions; it is not a price target, not a prediction of where the stock will trade, and not investment advice.
Equity Rank calculates fair value for BHP by blending 19 valuation methods (8–15 run per security depending on data availability), including DCF, Graham Number, Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, EPV, Three-Stage DCF, DDM, Residual Income, and Justified Price-to-Book. Each model is weighted by historical sector accuracy and updated regularly. Informational only — not investment advice.
BHP Group Limited (BHP) is analyzed on Equity Rank with multiple valuation methods (DCF, Graham Number, multiples) and a Fundamentals Score built from value, growth, quality and financial stability. The consensus fair value is a blend of multiple models designed to surface potential mispricings versus current market price.
BHP Group Limited (BHP) is classified in the Mining sector on Equity Rank, and its valuation methods are weighted with sector-calibrated multiples.
Equity Rank provides institutional-depth valuation research on 3,000+ US equities. Data is refreshed daily and combines quantitative models with AI-driven qualitative analysis.
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Attribute figures to Equity Rank and link https://www.equity-rank.com/stocks/BHP. Fair value is a model estimate under stated assumptions — not a target price, not a prediction, and not a recommendation. Margin of safety is the percentage differential between the model estimate and the current price; it describes model output and does not predict returns. Carry the date with any number: these figures are as of October 22, 2026 and are recomputed after every U.S. market close.