As of October 22, 2026, American Airlines Group (AAL) trades at $12.58. No model fair value is published for AAL. Equity Rank publishes a blended model fair value only when enough valuation methods have usable data and pass its reliability checks. For AAL they currently do not (common causes are losses or negative cash flow, too little reporting history, or methods that disagree too widely), so no fair value is shown.
Source: Equity Rank — AAL valuation (data as of 2026-10-22). The full page shows the company’s fundamental profile and earnings data.
American Airlines Group (AAL) is next scheduled to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026 (before market open). The consensus analyst EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $-0.28.
Reported EPS came in above the analyst estimate in 7 of the last 8 reports. The median share-price change across a report, in either direction, was 6.3%.
| Report | EPS estimate | EPS actual | vs estimate | Price change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | $0.03 | $0.15 | +400.0% | -8.3% |
| Apr 23, 2026 | $-0.46 | $-0.40 | +13.0% | +2.4% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $0.35 | $0.16 | -54.3% | -7.0% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | $-0.28 | $-0.17 | +39.3% | +5.6% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $0.77 | $0.95 | +23.4% | -9.6% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $-0.67 | $-0.59 | +11.9% | +3.1% |
| Jan 23, 2025 | $0.66 | $0.86 | +30.3% | -8.7% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $0.17 | $0.30 | +76.5% | -0.4% |
Equity Rank computed model fair value for AAL from 2 independent valuation methods with sufficient data. 1 place fair value above the current price of $12.58, and 1 place it below. No blended model fair value is published for this company. The methods are evenly split, reflecting genuine dispersion in the estimate.
Equity Rank's fundamental strength composite scores AAL at 60.3/100 (B-, Solid), blending profitability, balance-sheet, and cash-flow quality. Over the trailing three years, gross margin has moved +0.7 pp. Its SAVE composite score has moved +0.1 over the past 30 days.
Equity Rank publishes a blended model fair value only when enough valuation methods have usable data and pass its reliability checks. For AAL they currently do not (common causes are losses or negative cash flow, too little reporting history, or methods that disagree too widely), so no fair value is shown. Informational only — not investment advice.
American Airlines Group (AAL) is analyzed on Equity Rank with multiple valuation methods (DCF, Graham Number, multiples) and a Fundamentals Score built from value, growth, quality and financial stability. Where the data supports one, Equity Rank publishes a multi-method consensus fair value; none is published for this company at present.
American Airlines Group (AAL) is classified in the Airlines sector on Equity Rank, and its valuation methods are weighted with sector-calibrated multiples.
Equity Rank provides institutional-depth valuation research on 3,000+ US equities. Data is refreshed daily and combines quantitative models with AI-driven qualitative analysis.
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Attribute figures to Equity Rank and link https://www.equity-rank.com/stocks/AAL. Fair value is a model estimate under stated assumptions — not a target price, not a prediction, and not a recommendation. Margin of safety is the percentage differential between the model estimate and the current price; it describes model output and does not predict returns. Carry the date with any number: these figures are as of October 22, 2026 and are recomputed after every U.S. market close.