UPS Fair Value — United Parcel Service Inc

How UPS's valuation models agree

Equity Rank computed model fair value for UPS from 9 independent valuation methods with sufficient data. 2 place fair value above the current price of $104.79, and 7 place it below. The model-blended estimate lands at $74.32 — a model fair value differential of 29.1% below the current price under these model assumptions. The larger group places fair value below the current price.

Each method (DCF, Graham Number, EPV, Three-Stage DCF, DDM, Residual Income, Justified Price-to-Book, and more) is weighted by historical sector accuracy. Model-derived and informational only — not investment advice.

UPS fundamental profile

Equity Rank's fundamental strength composite scores UPS at 62.0/100 (B-, Solid), blending profitability, balance-sheet, and cash-flow quality. Over the trailing three years, free cash flow has compounded at -20.1% per year and gross margin has moved -2.0 pp. Its SAVE composite score has moved -1.1 over the past 30 days.

A composite quality metric for research context — not a rating, recommendation, or directional signal.

About UPS

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) is analyzed on Equity Rank using the S·A·V·E framework: Sentiment, Analyst consensus, Valuation (DCF, Graham, multiples), and Earnings quality. The consensus fair value is a blend of multiple models designed to surface potential mispricings versus current market price.

Equity Rank provides institutional-depth valuation research on 3,000+ US equities. Data is refreshed daily and combines quantitative models with AI-driven qualitative analysis.

Related Freight Research

HON · CAT · DE · LMT · RTX

Side-by-side valuation: UPS vs FDX

All Industrials stocks with model fair values · Undervalued Industrials stocks

Research Tools

Intrinsic Value Calculator · DCF Calculator · Margin of Safety Calculator

Data study: 19 valuation models across 3,091 US stocks · Compare any two stocks