Restaurants Stocks — Fair Value & Margin of Safety

Equity Rank covers 33 Restaurants companies; 28 have a published model fair value, and 12 of those (43%) trade below the model estimate. The median model fair value sits 8.4% below the current price, under these model assumptions. Data as of 2026-10-22.

Source: Equity Rank — Restaurants stocks. Model fair value is a multi-method blend (DCF, Graham Number, earnings power, sector multiples and more), recomputed after each U.S. market close.

Restaurants stocks furthest below the model estimate

Among companies valued by at least five methods. A wide gap can also mean the models are missing something.

  1. ARCO — Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc: model fair value $15.41 vs. price $8.01, a model fair value differential of 92.4% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  2. BLMN — Bloomin Brands Inc: model fair value $15.21 vs. price $10.27, a model fair value differential of 48.2% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  3. YUMC — Yum China Holdings Inc: model fair value $65.18 vs. price $44.76, a model fair value differential of 45.6% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  4. LOCO — El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc: model fair value $21.50 vs. price $15.04, a model fair value differential of 43.0% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  5. WEN — The Wendy’s Co: model fair value $9.36 vs. price $6.57, a model fair value differential of 42.5% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  6. HDL — SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares: model fair value $13.44 vs. price $9.74, a model fair value differential of 37.9% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  7. FWRG — First Watch Restaurant Group Inc: model fair value $14.96 vs. price $11.56, a model fair value differential of 29.4% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  8. PZZA — Papa John's International Inc: model fair value $23.97 vs. price $18.66, a model fair value differential of 28.5% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  9. DPZ — Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock: model fair value $359.06 vs. price $317.70, a model fair value differential of 13.0% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  10. NATH — Nathans Famous Inc: model fair value $113.57 vs. price $101.94, a model fair value differential of 11.4% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)

All 33 Restaurants companies

TickerCompanyPriceModel fair valueGap
MCDMcDonald’s Corporation$252.63$230.18-8.9%
SBUXStarbucks Corporation$101.91$54.62-46.4%
YUMYum! Brands Inc$154.45$117.90-23.7%
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill Inc$28.13$23.53-16.4%
QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc$76.41$63.88-16.4%
DRIDarden Restaurants Inc$217.56$192.25-11.6%
YUMCYum China Holdings Inc$44.76$65.18+45.6%
TXRHTexas Roadhouse Inc$172.78$130.45-24.5%
DPZDomino's Pizza Inc Common Stock$317.70$359.06+13.0%
EATBrinker International Inc$190.11$195.66+2.9%
BROSDutch Bros Inc$41.75$26.26-37.1%
CAVACAVA Group, Inc.$54.68$28.66-47.6%
CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory$112.44$88.15-21.6%
WINGWingstop Inc$120.87$93.42-22.7%
SHAKShake Shack Inc$67.88$54.55-19.6%
CHAChagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares$12.46Not published—
ARCOArcos Dorados Holdings Inc$8.01$15.41+92.4%
CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country Store$67.31$62.00-7.9%
BHBiglari Holdings Inc$395.33Not published—
BH-ABiglari Holdings Inc$1917.20Not published—
SGSweetgreen Inc$10.22$11.23+9.9%
BJRIBJs Restaurants Inc$58.79$51.65-12.1%
WENThe Wendy’s Co$6.57$9.36+42.5%
BLMNBloomin Brands Inc$10.27$15.21+48.2%
FWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group Inc$11.56$14.96+29.4%
CNNECannae Holdings Inc$16.43Not published—
PZZAPapa John's International Inc$18.66$23.97+28.5%
HDLSUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares$9.74$13.44+37.9%
LOCOEl Pollo Loco Holdings Inc$15.04$21.50+43.0%
KRUSKura Sushi USA Inc$34.41$32.89-4.4%
NATHNathans Famous Inc$101.94$113.57+11.4%
DINDine Brands Global Inc$31.84$27.12-14.8%
JACKJack in the Box Inc.$11.41Not published—

Largest companies first. Gap = model fair value differential versus the current price; positive means the price sits below the model estimate. “Not published” means the models lacked reliable data.

Compare Restaurants peers

MCD vs SBUX · MCD vs YUM · MCD vs CMG · MCD vs QSR · SBUX vs YUM · SBUX vs CMG · SBUX vs QSR · YUM vs CMG · YUM vs QSR · CMG vs QSR

Related research

All industries · Compare any two stocks · Intrinsic Value Calculator