Packaged Foods Stocks — Fair Value & Margin of Safety

Equity Rank covers 37 Packaged Foods companies; 32 have a published model fair value, and 19 of those (59%) trade below the model estimate. The median model fair value sits 9.7% above the current price, under these model assumptions. Data as of 2026-10-22.

Source: Equity Rank — Packaged Foods stocks. Model fair value is a multi-method blend (DCF, Graham Number, earnings power, sector multiples and more), recomputed after each U.S. market close.

Packaged Foods stocks furthest below the model estimate

Among companies valued by at least five methods. A wide gap can also mean the models are missing something.

  1. BRBR — Bellring Brands LLC: model fair value $20.37 vs. price $9.73, a model fair value differential of 109.3% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  2. HLF — Herbalife Nutrition Ltd: model fair value $25.50 vs. price $13.78, a model fair value differential of 85.0% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  3. NATR — Natures Sunshine Products Inc: model fair value $18.52 vs. price $12.41, a model fair value differential of 49.2% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  4. SFD — Smithfield Foods, Inc. Common Stock: model fair value $26.51 vs. price $18.81, a model fair value differential of 40.9% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  5. POST — Post Holdings Inc: model fair value $115.55 vs. price $82.00, a model fair value differential of 40.9% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  6. CENTA — Central Garden & Pet Company A: model fair value $52.04 vs. price $38.81, a model fair value differential of 34.1% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  7. CPB — Campbell’s Co: model fair value $27.62 vs. price $21.26, a model fair value differential of 29.9% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  8. INGR — Ingredion Incorporated: model fair value $125.05 vs. price $97.18, a model fair value differential of 28.7% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  9. SENEA — Seneca Foods Corp A: model fair value $209.71 vs. price $164.36, a model fair value differential of 27.6% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)
  10. DAR — Darling Ingredients Inc: model fair value $67.75 vs. price $57.28, a model fair value differential of 18.3% above the current price (as of 2026-10-22)

All 37 Packaged Foods companies

TickerCompanyPriceModel fair valueGap
JBSJBS N.V.$12.37$13.97+12.9%
KHCThe Kraft Heinz Company$25.07Not published—
GISGeneral Mills Inc$35.18$33.29-5.4%
SJMThe J. M. Smucker Company$133.39$116.43-12.7%
MKC-VMcCormick & Company Incorporated$49.22$53.97+9.7%
MKCMcCormick & Company Incorporated$48.71$52.25+7.3%
HRLHormel Foods Corporation$21.36$15.97-25.2%
DARDarling Ingredients Inc$57.28$67.75+18.3%
LWLamb Weston Holdings Inc$55.18$50.18-9.1%
SFDSmithfield Foods, Inc. Common Stock$18.81$26.51+40.9%
CAGConagra Brands, Inc.$15.07$13.72-9.0%
PPCPilgrims Pride Corp$28.09$32.12+14.3%
INGRIngredion Incorporated$97.18$125.05+28.7%
CPBCampbell’s Co$21.26$27.62+29.9%
POSTPost Holdings Inc$82.00$115.55+40.9%
FRPTFreshpet Inc$67.00$33.47-50.0%
MZTIThe Marzetti Company$112.33$91.83-18.3%
CENTCentral Garden & Pet Company$45.13$52.25+15.8%
CENTACentral Garden & Pet Company A$38.81$52.04+34.1%
UTZUtz Brands Inc$14.29$12.17-14.8%
NOMDNomad Foods Ltd$12.23Not published—
JJSFJ & J Snack Foods Corp$84.90$68.26-19.6%
HLFHerbalife Nutrition Ltd$13.78$25.50+85.0%
FLOFlowers Foods Inc$6.42$6.67+3.9%
SENEBSeneca Foods Corp B$164.18$265.80+61.9%
SENEASeneca Foods Corp A$164.36$209.71+27.6%
BRBRBellring Brands LLC$9.73$20.37+109.3%
SMPLSimply Good Foods Co$11.08$10.44-5.8%
WESTWestrock Coffee Company$9.69Not published—
JBSSJohn B Sanfilippo & Son Inc$68.27$74.87+9.7%
MAMAMama's Creations Inc.$13.27$6.43-51.5%
OTLYOatly Group AB ADR$12.11Not published—
PREPrenetics Global Ltd$16.57$14.61-11.8%
LWAYLifeway Foods Inc$22.96$17.99-21.6%
USNAUSANA Health Sciences Inc$14.52$20.13+38.6%
NATRNatures Sunshine Products Inc$12.41$18.52+49.2%
BYNDBeyond Meat Inc$7.27Not published—

Largest companies first. Gap = model fair value differential versus the current price; positive means the price sits below the model estimate. “Not published” means the models lacked reliable data.

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