ADM Fair Value — Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Protein Processing · Institutional-depth multi-model valuation on Equity Rank

As of November 9, 2026, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) trades at $69.84. Equity Rank's blended estimate across 12 valuation models with sufficient data is $55.55 — a model fair value differential of 20.5% below the current price under these model assumptions. Model-derived estimate, informational only — not investment advice.

Source: Equity Rank — ADM fair value (data as of 2026-11-09). The full page adds the per-method breakdown and the model’s scenario range (with an Equity Rank account).

Current Price
$69.84
Model Fair Value
$55.55
Margin of Safety
-20.5%

ADM earnings history

Reported EPS came in above the analyst estimate in 6 of the last 8 reports. The median share-price change across a report, in either direction, was 3.1%.

ReportEPS estimateEPS actualvs estimatePrice change
Nov 3, 2026$1.63$1.77+8.6%-6.8%
Aug 4, 2026$1.42$1.84+29.6%+2.3%
May 5, 2026$0.66$0.71+7.6%+3.8%
Feb 3, 2026$0.89$0.87-1.8%-1.0%
Nov 4, 2025$0.84$0.92+9.5%+0.1%
Aug 5, 2025$0.80$0.93+16.2%+6.0%
May 6, 2025$0.67$0.70+4.5%+1.7%
Feb 4, 2025$1.15$1.14-0.9%-5.1%

Price change is close to close across the report. Past reactions say nothing about the next report. Informational only.

How ADM's valuation models agree

Equity Rank computed model fair value for ADM from 12 independent valuation methods with sufficient data. 3 place fair value above the current price of $69.84, and 9 place it below. The model-blended estimate lands at $55.55 — a model fair value differential of 20.5% below the current price under these model assumptions. The larger group places fair value below the current price.

Models: FV above price
3
Models: FV below price
9
Models compared
12

Each method (DCF, Graham Number, EPV, Three-Stage DCF, DDM, Residual Income, Justified Price-to-Book, and more) is weighted by historical sector accuracy. Model-derived and informational only — not investment advice.

ADM fundamental profile

Equity Rank's fundamental strength composite scores ADM at 60.5/100 (B-, Solid), blending profitability, balance-sheet, and cash-flow quality. Over the trailing three years, free cash flow has compounded at +24.9% per year and gross margin has moved -1.2 pp. Its SAVE composite score has moved +1.4 over the past 30 days.

A composite quality metric for research context — not a rating, recommendation, or directional signal.

What is ADM's intrinsic value estimate?

Equity Rank's intrinsic value estimate for Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) — the model fair value — is $55.55 as of November 9, 2026, blended from 12 valuation methods with sufficient data. An intrinsic value estimate is what the models compute a share to be worth under stated assumptions; it is not a price target, not a prediction of where the stock will trade, and not investment advice.

How does Equity Rank calculate fair value for ADM?

Equity Rank calculates fair value for ADM by blending 19 valuation methods (8–15 run per security depending on data availability), including DCF, Graham Number, Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, EPV, Three-Stage DCF, DDM, Residual Income, and Justified Price-to-Book. Each model is weighted by historical sector accuracy and updated regularly. Informational only — not investment advice.

About ADM

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) is analyzed on Equity Rank with multiple valuation methods (DCF, Graham Number, multiples) and a Fundamentals Score built from value, growth, quality and financial stability. The consensus fair value is a blend of multiple models designed to surface potential mispricings versus current market price.

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) is classified in the Protein Processing sector on Equity Rank, and its valuation methods are weighted with sector-calibrated multiples.

Equity Rank provides institutional-depth valuation research on 3,000+ US equities. Data is refreshed daily and combines quantitative models with AI-driven qualitative analysis.

Related Protein Processing Research

More on ADM: Is ADM overvalued? · If you had invested $1,000 in ADM · ADM dividend income

ETFs holding ADM (share of fund): XLP (1.9%) · NOBL (1.3%) · DVY (1.1%) · SCHD (0.8%) · VO (0.4%) · VIG (0.2%)

All Farm Products stocks with model fair values

Research Tools

Intrinsic Value Calculator · DCF Calculator · Margin of Safety Calculator

Data study: 19 valuation models across 3,091 US stocks · Compare any two stocks

How to quote this page

Attribute figures to Equity Rank and link https://www.equity-rank.com/stocks/ADM. Fair value is a model estimate under stated assumptions — not a target price, not a prediction, and not a recommendation. Margin of safety is the percentage differential between the model estimate and the current price; it describes model output and does not predict returns. Carry the date with any number: these figures are as of November 9, 2026 and are recomputed after every U.S. market close.