Is Tesla Inc (TSLA) overvalued?
On Equity Rank's model estimate, TSLA trades 426% above its fair value. Tesla Inc (TSLA) last closed at $358.22; the multi-method model fair value is $68.07.
| Price | Model fair value | Price vs model |
|---|---|---|
| $358.22 | $68.07 | 426% above |
What the answer rests on
- 0 of 5 valuation methods put TSLA's value above its price and 5 put it below, so the methods mostly agree.
- To justify today's price, TSLA's free cash flow would need to grow about 46.3% a year for ten years (a reverse discounted cash flow). Over the last three years it actually grew -6.3% a year.
- Over the past year the price sat below the model fair value on 0% of trading days. The gap ranged from 10% above to 459% above the model fair value.
Read this before relying on it
The model fair value is an estimate from published financial statements. It is not a forecast of where the price goes, and it can be wrong. Within 10% either side we call it close to fair value: valuation models are not precise enough to read more into a smaller gap. Our own lists have no proven edge over the market yet; the live record shows every result, misses included.
Every valuation method behind TSLA's fair value · What prices assume · Other companies