Is Restaurant Brands International Inc (QSR) overvalued?
On Equity Rank's model estimate, QSR trades 15% above its fair value. Restaurant Brands International Inc (QSR) last closed at $77.69; the multi-method model fair value is $67.42.
| Price | Model fair value | Price vs model |
|---|---|---|
| $77.69 | $67.42 | 15% above |
What the answer rests on
- 3 of 10 valuation methods put QSR's value above its price and 7 put it below, so the methods disagree.
- To justify today's price, QSR's free cash flow would need to grow about 5.3% a year for ten years (a reverse discounted cash flow). Over the last three years it actually grew 1.4% a year.
- QSR trades at 17.2 times its last year's earnings, against a median of 28.0 for 28 profitable Restaurants companies.
- Over the past year the price sat below the model fair value on 10% of trading days. The gap ranged from 16% below to 40% above the model fair value.
Read this before relying on it
The model fair value is an estimate from published financial statements. It is not a forecast of where the price goes, and it can be wrong. Within 10% either side we call it close to fair value: valuation models are not precise enough to read more into a smaller gap. Our own lists have no proven edge over the market yet; the live record shows every result, misses included.
Every valuation method behind QSR's fair value · What prices assume · Other companies