Is BeOne Medicines AG (ONC) overvalued?
On Equity Rank's model estimate, ONC trades 32% above its fair value. BeOne Medicines AG (ONC) last closed at $406.96; the multi-method model fair value is $309.06.
| Price | Model fair value | Price vs model |
|---|---|---|
| $406.96 | $309.06 | 32% above |
What the answer rests on
- 1 of 10 valuation methods put ONC's value above its price and 9 put it below, so the methods mostly agree.
- To justify today's price, ONC's free cash flow would need to grow about 15.9% a year for ten years (a reverse discounted cash flow).
- ONC trades at 69.3 times its last year's earnings, against a median of 19.7 for 24 profitable Biotechnology companies.
- Over the past year the price sat below the model fair value on 76% of trading days. The gap ranged from 19% below to 49% above the model fair value.
Read this before relying on it
The model fair value is an estimate from published financial statements. It is not a forecast of where the price goes, and it can be wrong. Within 10% either side we call it close to fair value: valuation models are not precise enough to read more into a smaller gap. Our own lists have no proven edge over the market yet; the live record shows every result, misses included.
Every valuation method behind ONC's fair value · What prices assume · Other companies