Is Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) overvalued?
On Equity Rank's model estimate, MPWR trades 86% above its fair value. Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) last closed at $1,190.44; the multi-method model fair value is $638.21.
| Price | Model fair value | Price vs model |
|---|---|---|
| $1190.44 | $638.21 | 87% above |
What the answer rests on
- 0 of 10 valuation methods put MPWR's value above its price and 10 put it below, so the methods mostly agree.
- To justify today's price, MPWR's free cash flow would need to grow about 32.0% a year for ten years (a reverse discounted cash flow). Over the last three years it actually grew 52.5% a year.
- MPWR trades at 69.1 times its last year's earnings, against a median of 39.1 for 27 profitable Semiconductors companies.
- Over the past year the price sat below the model fair value on 0% of trading days. The gap ranged from 22% above to 192% above the model fair value.
Read this before relying on it
The model fair value is an estimate from published financial statements. It is not a forecast of where the price goes, and it can be wrong. Within 10% either side we call it close to fair value: valuation models are not precise enough to read more into a smaller gap. Our own lists have no proven edge over the market yet; the live record shows every result, misses included.
Every valuation method behind MPWR's fair value · What prices assume · Other companies