Is Kinder Morgan Inc (KMI) overvalued?
On Equity Rank's model estimate, KMI trades 25% above its fair value. Kinder Morgan Inc (KMI) last closed at $29.96; the multi-method model fair value is $23.95.
| Price | Model fair value | Price vs model |
|---|---|---|
| $29.96 | $23.95 | 25% above |
What the answer rests on
- 1 of 13 valuation methods put KMI's value above its price and 12 put it below, so the methods mostly agree.
- To justify today's price, KMI's free cash flow would need to grow about 4.6% a year for ten years (a reverse discounted cash flow). Over the last three years it actually grew -4.8% a year.
- KMI trades at 19.5 times its last year's earnings, against a median of 14.8 for 110 profitable Energy companies.
- Over the past year the price sat below the model fair value on 0% of trading days. The gap ranged from 12% above to 42% above the model fair value.
Read this before relying on it
The model fair value is an estimate from published financial statements. It is not a forecast of where the price goes, and it can be wrong. Within 10% either side we call it close to fair value: valuation models are not precise enough to read more into a smaller gap. Our own lists have no proven edge over the market yet; the live record shows every result, misses included.
Every valuation method behind KMI's fair value · What prices assume · Other companies