Is Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN) overvalued?
On Equity Rank's model estimate, ETN trades 14% above its fair value. Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN) last closed at $341.72; the multi-method model fair value is $299.89.
| Price | Model fair value | Price vs model |
|---|---|---|
| $341.72 | $299.89 | 14% above |
What the answer rests on
- 2 of 10 valuation methods put ETN's value above its price and 8 put it below, so the methods mostly agree.
- To justify today's price, ETN's free cash flow would need to grow about 16.2% a year for ten years (a reverse discounted cash flow). Over the last three years it actually grew 22.4% a year.
- ETN trades at 35.3 times its last year's earnings, against a median of 24.8 for 187 profitable Industrials companies.
- Over the past year the price sat below the model fair value on 0% of trading days. The gap ranged from 9% above to 137% above the model fair value.
Read this before relying on it
The model fair value is an estimate from published financial statements. It is not a forecast of where the price goes, and it can be wrong. Within 10% either side we call it close to fair value: valuation models are not precise enough to read more into a smaller gap. Our own lists have no proven edge over the market yet; the live record shows every result, misses included.
Every valuation method behind ETN's fair value · What prices assume · Other companies