Is Dover Corporation (DOV) overvalued?
On Equity Rank's model estimate, DOV trades close to its fair value (2% above it). Dover Corporation (DOV) last closed at $203.85; the multi-method model fair value is $200.50.
| Price | Model fair value | Price vs model |
|---|---|---|
| $203.85 | $200.50 | 2% above |
What the answer rests on
- 2 of 12 valuation methods put DOV's value above its price and 10 put it below, so the methods mostly agree.
- To justify today's price, DOV's free cash flow would need to grow about 10.5% a year for ten years (a reverse discounted cash flow). Over the last three years it actually grew 24.1% a year.
- DOV trades at 24.8 times its last year's earnings, against a median of 24.9 for 187 profitable Industrials companies.
- Over the past year the price sat below the model fair value on 25% of trading days. The gap ranged from 3% below to 29% above the model fair value.
Read this before relying on it
The model fair value is an estimate from published financial statements. It is not a forecast of where the price goes, and it can be wrong. Within 10% either side we call it close to fair value: valuation models are not precise enough to read more into a smaller gap. Our own lists have no proven edge over the market yet; the live record shows every result, misses included.
Every valuation method behind DOV's fair value · What prices assume · Other companies