Is Carrier Global Corp (CARR) overvalued?
On Equity Rank's model estimate, CARR trades 16% above its fair value. Carrier Global Corp (CARR) last closed at $52.38; the multi-method model fair value is $45.01.
| Price | Model fair value | Price vs model |
|---|---|---|
| $52.38 | $45.01 | 16% above |
What the answer rests on
- 1 of 5 valuation methods put CARR's value above its price and 4 put it below, so the methods mostly agree.
- To justify today's price, CARR's free cash flow would need to grow about 13.2% a year for ten years (a reverse discounted cash flow). Over the last three years it actually grew 6.9% a year.
- Over the past year the price sat below the model fair value on 4% of trading days. The gap ranged from 2% below to 70% above the model fair value.
Read this before relying on it
The model fair value is an estimate from published financial statements. It is not a forecast of where the price goes, and it can be wrong. Within 10% either side we call it close to fair value: valuation models are not precise enough to read more into a smaller gap. Our own lists have no proven edge over the market yet; the live record shows every result, misses included.
Every valuation method behind CARR's fair value · What prices assume · Other companies