Is Barrick Mining Corporation (B) overvalued?
On Equity Rank's model estimate, B trades 17% below its fair value. Barrick Mining Corporation (B) last closed at $40.56; the multi-method model fair value is $48.97.
| Price | Model fair value | Price vs model |
|---|---|---|
| $40.56 | $48.97 | 17% below |
What the answer rests on
- 5 of 13 valuation methods put B's value above its price and 8 put it below, so the methods disagree.
- To justify today's price, B's free cash flow would need to grow about 4.8% a year for ten years (a reverse discounted cash flow). Over the last three years it actually grew 113.3% a year.
- B trades at 10.4 times its last year's earnings, against a median of 12.4 for 36 profitable Mining companies.
- Over the past year the price sat below the model fair value on 100% of trading days. The gap ranged from 30% below to 11% below the model fair value.
Read this before relying on it
The model fair value is an estimate from published financial statements. It is not a forecast of where the price goes, and it can be wrong. Within 10% either side we call it close to fair value: valuation models are not precise enough to read more into a smaller gap. Our own lists have no proven edge over the market yet; the live record shows every result, misses included.
Every valuation method behind B's fair value · What prices assume · Other companies