Is Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) overvalued?
On Equity Rank's model estimate, ALAB trades 544% above its fair value. Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) last closed at $190.71; the multi-method model fair value is $29.62.
| Price | Model fair value | Price vs model |
|---|---|---|
| $190.71 | $29.62 | 544% above |
What the answer rests on
- 0 of 7 valuation methods put ALAB's value above its price and 7 put it below, so the methods mostly agree.
- To justify today's price, ALAB's free cash flow would need to grow about 38.1% a year for ten years (a reverse discounted cash flow).
- Over the past year the price sat below the model fair value on 0% of trading days. The gap ranged from 16% above to 506% above the model fair value.
Read this before relying on it
The model fair value is an estimate from published financial statements. It is not a forecast of where the price goes, and it can be wrong. Within 10% either side we call it close to fair value: valuation models are not precise enough to read more into a smaller gap. Our own lists have no proven edge over the market yet; the live record shows every result, misses included.
Every valuation method behind ALAB's fair value · What prices assume · Other companies