# Is Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) overvalued?

Source: https://www.equity-rank.com/is-it-overvalued/VLO

**On Equity Rank's model estimate, VLO trades close to its fair value (6% below it).** Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) last closed at $346.45; the multi-method model fair value is $366.81.

| Price | Model fair value | Price vs model |
| --- | --- | --- |
| $346.45 | $366.81 | 6% below |

## What the answer rests on

- 8 of 13 valuation methods put VLO's value above its price and 5 put it below, so the methods disagree.
- To justify today's price, VLO's free cash flow would need to grow about 2.0% a year for ten years (a reverse discounted cash flow).
- VLO trades at 8.8 times its last year's earnings, against a median of 14.9 for 110 profitable Energy companies.
- Over the past year the price sat below the model fair value on 35% of trading days. The gap ranged from 10% below to 28% above the model fair value.

## Read this before relying on it

The model fair value is an estimate from published financial statements. It is not a forecast of where the price goes, and it can be wrong. Within 10% either side we call it close to fair value: valuation models are not precise enough to read more into a smaller gap. Our own lists have no proven edge over the market yet; [the live record](https://www.equity-rank.com/track-record) shows every result, misses included.

Data as of Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Informational only — not investment advice.

[Every valuation method behind VLO's fair value](https://www.equity-rank.com/stocks/VLO) · [What prices assume](https://www.equity-rank.com/priced-in) · [Other companies](https://www.equity-rank.com/is-it-overvalued)

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Fair value is a model estimate under stated assumptions — not a price target, not a prediction, and not a recommendation. This page is research information, not investment advice. Equity Rank is not a registered investment adviser.