# Is Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) overvalued?

Source: https://www.equity-rank.com/is-it-overvalued/ODFL

**On Equity Rank's model estimate, ODFL trades 82% above its fair value.** Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) last closed at $164.92; the multi-method model fair value is $90.84.

| Price | Model fair value | Price vs model |
| --- | --- | --- |
| $164.92 | $90.84 | 82% above |

## What the answer rests on

- 0 of 10 valuation methods put ODFL's value above its price and 10 put it below, so the methods mostly agree.
- To justify today's price, ODFL's free cash flow would need to grow about 16.8% a year for ten years (a reverse discounted cash flow). Over the last three years it actually grew 1.4% a year.
- ODFL trades at 31.9 times its last year's earnings, against a median of 32.0 for 17 profitable Freight companies.
- Over the past year the price sat below the model fair value on 0% of trading days. The gap ranged from 45% above to 256% above the model fair value.

## Read this before relying on it

The model fair value is an estimate from published financial statements. It is not a forecast of where the price goes, and it can be wrong. Within 10% either side we call it close to fair value: valuation models are not precise enough to read more into a smaller gap. Our own lists have no proven edge over the market yet; [the live record](https://www.equity-rank.com/track-record) shows every result, misses included.

Data as of Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Informational only — not investment advice.

[Every valuation method behind ODFL's fair value](https://www.equity-rank.com/stocks/ODFL) · [What prices assume](https://www.equity-rank.com/priced-in) · [Other companies](https://www.equity-rank.com/is-it-overvalued)

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Fair value is a model estimate under stated assumptions — not a price target, not a prediction, and not a recommendation. This page is research information, not investment advice. Equity Rank is not a registered investment adviser.