# Is Hershey Co (HSY) overvalued?

Source: https://www.equity-rank.com/is-it-overvalued/HSY

**On Equity Rank's model estimate, HSY trades 19% above its fair value.** Hershey Co (HSY) last closed at $178.08; the multi-method model fair value is $149.66.

| Price | Model fair value | Price vs model |
| --- | --- | --- |
| $178.08 | $149.66 | 19% above |

## What the answer rests on

- 3 of 10 valuation methods put HSY's value above its price and 7 put it below, so the methods disagree.
- To justify today's price, HSY's free cash flow would need to grow about -3.9% a year for ten years (a reverse discounted cash flow). Over the last three years it actually grew -1.1% a year.
- HSY trades at 19.7 times its last year's earnings, against a median of 17.8 for 47 profitable Consumer Staples companies.
- Over the past year the price sat below the model fair value on 25% of trading days. The gap ranged from 13% below to 44% above the model fair value.

## Read this before relying on it

The model fair value is an estimate from published financial statements. It is not a forecast of where the price goes, and it can be wrong. Within 10% either side we call it close to fair value: valuation models are not precise enough to read more into a smaller gap. Our own lists have no proven edge over the market yet; [the live record](https://www.equity-rank.com/track-record) shows every result, misses included.

Data as of Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Informational only — not investment advice.

[Every valuation method behind HSY's fair value](https://www.equity-rank.com/stocks/HSY) · [What prices assume](https://www.equity-rank.com/priced-in) · [Other companies](https://www.equity-rank.com/is-it-overvalued)

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Fair value is a model estimate under stated assumptions — not a price target, not a prediction, and not a recommendation. This page is research information, not investment advice. Equity Rank is not a registered investment adviser.