Target Corporation (TGT) Earnings Preview
Next report: Wed, Nov 18, 2026, before the open. Analysts' average EPS estimate: $2.04. The facts below describe past reports and today's prices; none of them predicts the result.
- Move the option market prices in: ±9.7% (at-the-money straddle, 2026-11-20 expiry)
- Typical move after a report: ±4.7% (median of the last 8, either direction)
- Model fair value (multi-method blend): $208.66 against a $158.41 price, a +31.7% model fair value differential
The last 8 reports
Reported EPS came in above the estimate 6 of 8 times.
| Reported | EPS estimate | EPS actual | Surprise | Stock move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Aug 19, 2026 | $2.30 | $2.46 | +7.0% | +4.3% |
| Wed, May 20, 2026 | $1.46 | $1.71 | +17.1% | -3.9% |
| Tue, Mar 3, 2026 | $2.16 | $2.44 | +13.0% | +6.7% |
| Wed, Nov 19, 2025 | $1.71 | $1.78 | +4.1% | -2.8% |
| Wed, Aug 20, 2025 | $2.03 | $2.05 | +1.0% | -6.3% |
| Wed, May 21, 2025 | $1.65 | $1.30 | -21.2% | -5.2% |
| Tue, Mar 4, 2025 | $2.25 | $2.41 | +7.1% | -3.0% |
| Wed, Nov 20, 2024 | $2.30 | $1.85 | -19.6% | -22.0% |